| Associate
Members’ Conference THE
FUTURE OF EUROPE: ENLARGEMENT AND ITS IMPLICATIONS
Towards a Quaker view of Good Governance
Friday 18 – Sunday 20 October 2002
LECTURE
BY MICHAEL LAKE, FORMER EU AMBASSADOR TO TURKEY AND HUNGARY (1991-2001)
and SPECIAL ADVISER TO COMMISSIONER GUNTER VERHEUGEN
Ladies
and Gentlemen, Friends,
I feel
very honoured and pleased to have been given the opportunity to
address you this morning on two of the most important topics facing
Europeans today: The future enlargement of the European Union and
the Convention on its future governance. I am replacing a very old
friend and colleague of mine – a friend for the past 30 years
– Niels Jorgen Thogersen, who, unluckily for him has not retired
yet, and who found himself in difficulties with this commitment.
I am happy to replace him, and I hope that my own experience, as
the former EU ambassador in two Candidate Countries for accession
to the EU and many years of specialisation in European Union affairs
before that – 41 years to be exact – will help to bring
you a flavour of what is involved, if not too much technical detail.
If you want more detail, you will be able to ask questions after
this presentation, and I can make a text of it available to Neville
Kerry – another old friend and colleague – after the
conference, either by copy or by e-mail.
You
know much better than I do who you are. But I do know that Quakers
are politically active, astute, that you take a responsible interest
in the way society works and that your views carry weight. This
is why I am glad of this chance to explain to you what is going
on. You must forgive me, many of you, if what I have to say is old
hat, if you are already well informed and have your own views already.
For those of you who are less up to date what I have to say may
well help you to keep up to date by better understanding the newspapers
and politicians.
The
original title of this talk was the Convention on the future of
Europe but when I replaced Niles Thogersen it seemed reasonable,
since I am something of a specialist on the enlargement, which was
a contributory factor to the establishment of the Convention that
I should talk about this, too. Enlargement is, after all, very much
on the agenda, and the second Irish referendum on the Treaty of
Nice today is of immediate, if not burning interest.
What
is proposed is the re-unification of Europe, the ending of the artificial
barrier imposed on all us by the Soviet Union, a now discredited
totalitarian regime, after the end of the Second World War, for
about 40 years. We have, I believe, a moral responsibility to offer
these 100 million people their rightful place in the European Union.
It is also very much in our interests, and theirs, both political
and economic interests, that we should be integrated in the same
Union. The EU is are projecting stability into an area which we
were brought up to regard as enemy territory; it is projecting sustainable
economic development into a region of 100 million consumers whose
lives were previously regimented by command economies which did
not work, and it is providing free movement of peoples to live,
to establish enterprises, to work, to be sick and to retire as European
citizens in any country of the Union.
But
this enlargement was different from any previous. Because of the
different origin and nature of the new Candidate Countries, preliminary
criteria were set for the opening of negotiations on membership,
and extensive preparations were made – and are still under
way – to bring them into the Union properly equipped to act
as full, first class members from the first day.
These
conditions for membership are already long fulfilled by the current
15 Member States, including Britain. The accession process, as the
governments call it using the common if somewhat florid language
imposed upon us by diplomacy, is a long, intense and complicated
business. If Britain had to go through all the hoops which the present
Candidate Countries are now doing, we should find it a much tougher
business than we did back in the sixties and early seventies when
Britain joined.
First
of all, the so-called acquis communautaire or body of European Community
law was much smaller then; for example there was no internal market,
no environment policy, no consumer protection law, no law on human
rights. Britain’s chief difficulty in its 12-year struggle
to join the European Community was to negotiate terms which would
also preserve some access for the essential exports of Commonwealth
countries. But even now, for those living in the Member States,
including Britain, the accession process has important lessons,
particularly in terms of implementing and enforcing EU law.
For
the Candidates Countries of today, accession demands that two big
requirements are met: First they must all fulfil the so-called Copenhagen
Criteria, fixed at the European Council, or summit meeting, in Copenhagen
in 1992. These criteria demand that the candidate country enjoys
the stability of institutions guaranteeing democracy, the rule of
law, respect for human rights and the care and protection of minorities;
and that it is an open market economy able to withstand the competitive
pressures within the European Union AND with the capacity to fulfil
the objectives of European economic and monetary policy.
Issues
such as human rights and the rights of minorities were not then
high on the agenda as they are today - indeed now enshrined in the
Treaty of the European Union, and in the new Charter of Fundamental
Rights and Freedoms which is included in the Treaty of Nice which
is what the Irish are voting about today.
For
the new candidates these criteria had a much more relevant application.
With the exception of Turkey, Cyprus and Malta, they had all been
communist countries, wrapped in the iron embrace of the Soviet Union
whose Bolshevik party supervised both their domestic and foreign
policies. Even as I speak, the word Bolshevik has a far-off echo,
of some dusty, smoke-stained distant past. Yet we are speaking of
only 13 years ago. So the European Union has had to make sure that
in offering membership to these countries, some of which had never
ever experienced real democracy, or the rule of law, or human rights,
that these countries would be able to demonstrate not merely that
they had adopted the appearance and trappings of democracy, a proper
judiciary with rights of appeal and fully applied not just to people
but to the economy and business, but that they could implement and
enforce those criteria, which were so new to them.
The
second big requirement is that the Candidate Countries adopt the
entire acquis communautaire, that is to say European Community law
(which is about 86-90000 pages in English), and that they create
and demonstrate the administrative capacity to complement and enforce
that law. This has required all their Parliaments adopting a huge
body of new law – sometimes in single laws, sometimes in great
chunks of framework law with implementing law tacked on later; and
the adapting or the establishment of departments and institutions
across the country to administer the laws.
The
candidates have to adopt the whole acquis. They may seek and negotiate
for time to implement parts of it, transition periods to enable
them to finance and to put in place the means to implement that
part of the acquis. For example parts of environmental policy which
are expensive and which take time to put in place - and the Union
does not wish to impose dangerous burdens on their economies.
All
this covers 31 Chapters: Let me give you some of them, to give you
an idea of the scope - and let me remind you that Britain and the
other Member States already fulfil these obligations, as part of
their own law, on a daily basis:
There
is a group of chapters under the heading of the Internal Market:
The free movement of goods, including our customs union; the free
movement of persons (which some Member States wanted to withhold
for a transition period); the free movement of services and the
free movement of capital (for which some of the Candidates want
a long transition period in order not to have to put their agricultural
land on the open market in case it was all bought up by their rich
neighbours). There is a social Chapter which enshrines the laws
on health and safety at work, and equal treatment at work for men
and women.
Other
Chapters include competition policy –which involves fair trading,
monopolies, anti-cartel policy, the abuse of a dominant position
in the market, and state aids or subsidies; agriculture which breaks
down into domestic and external farming regulations and agricultural
trade (which cover half of the whole acquis), veterinary and phytosanitary
laws, a whole new part of the acquis called food safety which should
have special resonance in the UK, and the budgetary provisions.
Then
there is transport, covering road, rail, air and water transport;
taxation (did we really want to make the EU so unpopular in the
new Candidates by insisting they double or treble the tax on their
cheap cigarettes immediately on entry?) and including the approximation
of value-added tax; statistics (easy peasy for some candidates,
a nightmare for others and in any case real statistics are a new
essential for the candidates: the communists used to massage statistics
for purely political and propaganda purposes; there is a Chapter
on SME’s (in my view the development of a strong SME sector
is the key to a soft landing for all these new members – they
will provide the basis for most new jobs, a rising standard of living,
anchoring other EU capital and high technology investment in their
countries and finally providing the basis for a new, middle class
consumer society which is the hard core of our democracy and which
was virtually eliminated under communism.
There
are Chapters on telecomms, energy, financial control, company law
and a very important Chapter on Justice and Home Affairs which includes
the Schengen agreement on lifting internal EU border controls (let
me say right here that while Britain Ireland and Denmark opted out
of Schengen there will be no opt outs for any Candidate Countries);
these are border controls inside the EU, and Schengen requires the
strengthening of the Union’s external borders with non-EU
neighbours; Justice and Home Affairs also includes policy on immigration,
visas, asylum, refugees and the fight against international crime
and corruption and terrorism, with the most important latest addition
to the Treaty a common European arrest warrant.
An
important achievement of many candidates last year was the completion
of negotiations on the Chapter on the environment, which means that,
far from eastern and central Europe remaining a toxic dump which
the communists had left behind them in many places, this part of
the world will become as environmentally conscious, clean and safe
as the European Union is required to be today. (By the way, the
area of the environment was the first in some of these former communist
countries where non-governmental organisations were able to campaign
without being crushed by the communist regime. It is a source of
amazement and distress to me that the Irish Green Movement has campaigned
against the Treaty of Nice and thus to block the entire enlargement
process. They are effectively campaigning against their fellow Greens
in central and eastern Europe. If this happens I expect reactions
in every Irish pub in eastern and central Europe!)
Together
with my Delegation of 60 staff and the enlargement team in Brussels,
my last job was helping Hungary to achieve all this, the adoption
of the legislation and the strengthening of administrative capacity
to implement and enforce it; and to explain to the Hungarian people
what it was all about and why. To do all this does not come cheap.
So the European Commission runs an extensive aid programme, called
the Phare programme, to support the accession. Together with a fund
for infrastucture I was personally responsible for the final signature
to contracts worth around €300 million a year. The EU is paying
about 25 per cent of the cost of accession; the Candidate Countries
have to co-finance the remainder from their own, or from borrowed
resources. More money is being pumped in during this last 18 months
or so to close gaps and repair weaknesses in the preparation. This
was not done for previous enlargements, and some of the new countries
then were not fully ready.
After
enlargement, this financial support will continue, but rather than
using the Phare budget for pre-accession preparation, the new Member
States will have access to the Union’s structural funds, the
regional development fund, the social fund and the cohesion funds
for the poorest members, which can offer the new Member States able
to absorb it a maximum of 4 per cent of their gdp. These funds are
what has helped to transform Ireland, Spain, Portugal and Greece
into the modern economies they are today. No such preparation was
made for previous Candidates. For example, it took Portugal five
years to be able to absorb the maximum amount available under the
structural funds. We hope the new Member States will be up to full
absorption in a year or two. And these much bigger funds will help
them to build the infrastructure, particularly in the fields of
transport and the environment, to meet the full terms of the acquis
communautaire by the end of the transition period agreed during
the negotiations – usually 10 years.
The
inclusion of these countries will add roughly 25-30 per cent to
the existing land area and population of the EU. It will also add,
for the time being, only about 7-10 per cent to our collective GDP.
But before you frown and purse your lips, you will of course realise
that this is where the new growth is. The EU is growing now at a
very creditable 2-2.3 per cent a year. Many if not all the CCs have
been growing by 5-7 per cent, and although affected by the general
economic slowdown they are still growing faster than we are. In
the case of Hungary they surpassed the GDP of the last days of communism
by 1998; they have since increased growth to around seven per cent
a year; they have reduced inflation from 20 per cent five or six
years ago to seven per cent; and unemployment is around eight per
cent – lower than the EU average. It will take about 20-25
years for them to reach the EU average – Budapest is already
at 75 per cent of the EU average - but they are already well able
to compete and to survive in the EU, as their export figures and
trade demonstrate.
And
they already do 75 per cent of their trade with the EU. So far as
trade and investment are concerned, they are already integrated.
Indeed, some nearly meet the criteria necessary for adopting the
Euro, which they intend to do in 2007 (even if the UK does not join
up, all the candidates want to and Britain may eventually find sterling
pegged to the Danish kroner!). They are busy putting the finishing
touches to new border controls – partly financed by the Phare
programme – since they will be the new eastern borders of
the European Union and must join the Schengen pact with the right
of free movement for all within the Schengen borders, they are completing
their adoption of the agricultural policy, competition policy and
enforcement is working, huge waste water programmes are under way
(did you know that until recently 80 per cent of the waste of Budapest
went straight into the Danube?), EU food safety norms are being
adopted across the whole of the territory and the European ban on
discrimination of any kind, racial, religious, ethnic, on gender,
or gender choice, against the disabled, will be fully in force by
the end of next year.
Although
there are fluctuating hesitations among some sections of the population
in some countries – such as Estonia or the Czech Republic
– the vast majority of the populations strongly support membership.
They will have the security of belonging to a solid treaty-based
supra-national organisation, with its own rule of law, defended
by Nato and with sustainable growth prospects. They like both the
right to remain sovereign nation-states, which many of them are
enjoying for the first time in decades, if not centuries in some
cases, and to participate in the European process of integration;
and they like the way the European Union protects, and even enhances
the rights of smaller states. And they like to do it within the
Euro-Atlantic Alliance, a feeling strengthened after September 11.
Now
while all this is going on, the European Union is not standing still.
It is in a constant state of evolution; it always has been and it
will be so for the foreseeable future. Recent referenda –
on the Treaty of Union at Maastricht, on the Euro, on the Treaty
of Nice - indicated in the labyrinthine eccentricities of public
opinion a startling lack of information about what and how and why
the European Union was doing things, and a mixture of apathy and
reluctance bordering on hostility to all that in some countries,
mostly and worst, but not exclusively in the United Kingdom. One
of our three major political parties in Britain is virtually committed
against further integration – yet it was the party which took
us into the European Community and later approved the Single Market
and then supported the enlargement because it thought it would weaken
the European union.
No
enlargement has weakened it - every enlargement has proved to be
a catalyst for more evolution and integration. This time, e enlargement
has been a catalyst for the establishment of the European Convention
on the Future of Europe. It is not, I think, fanciful to have drawn
comparisons between the Convention and the work of the constitution
makers of the early United States. The Convention is examining the
best way to manage decision-making in an enlarged European Union
of 25 and even 30 Member States, to maintain and strengthen its
coherence and cohesiveness, and above all to make it more transparent
to the general public. Even in the UK, where Jack Straw recently
rather courageously introduced the word constitution to describe
a goal of the Convention, this goal has been accepted without hysteria
or even much debate.
The
Convention is broadly representative of our societies: It includes
a Chairman who is Valery Giscard d’Estaing, the former President
of France; two deputies who are former Prime Ministers of Belgium
and Italy, Dehaene and Amato; 15 representatives of government,
who are usually the Ministers for Europe; two members from each
of the national Parliaments; 16 members of the European Parliament,
two members of the European Commission and 39 representatives of
the 13 Candidate Countries (one from each government and two from
each parliament), sitting as observers. And so it includes the centre-right,
the centre left and the liberals. Even former communists. They sit
on 10 working groups, from the issue of subsidiarity to the external
relations of the Union, from economic governance to simplification,
from the Charter on Fundamental Rights and Freedoms to the question
of the legal personality – the multiple identity of the European
Union.
Alongside
the official Convention there is a forum, open to all, and available
on the Internet, feeds into the Convention ideas and proposals from
trades unions, academics, large, multinational and small and medium-sized
businesses, and non-governmental organisations. A key question for
both the forum and the convention will be to integrate or to link
democratic processes, such as we already enjoy, better into the
European Union.
It
is worth saying here that the European Union has been a success.
It has delivered the goods, often better than national governments.
It may surprise you to recognise that none of the areas of dispute
in Britain today, the delivery of public services such as the NHS,
the railways, teaching, crime and law and order, the vexed question
of public-private financing of public services – none are
the concern of the European Union.
On
the other hand, the areas undertaken by the EU within the framework
of the classic European architecture, the so-called Community way,
and I do not mean the Intergovernmental way, are delivered on time
and are working and often, like trade and the environment, global
in reach. The inter-governmental way, which involves cooperation
rather than integration, and often ratification, often fails to
work to the point of lapsing and it is these areas, such as foreign
and security policy and justice and home affairs that attract most
public criticism. More of this later. But the EU has in any case
become too complicated, governed by four over-lapping treaties which
even the experts find difficult to follow. It needs to be opened
up to a more interested public gaze, simplified, clarified.
As
the nineties progressed, we had three new Treaties, each overlapping
the other, covering eventually 1054 pages. The results of the intergovernmental
Conferences resulting in the Treaties of Amsterdam and of Nice fell
short of expectations. The enlargement will make the European Union
the number one economic power in the world. But it will require
a stronger Europe, with a strong focus of clear, united European
interest so as to reinforce, not weaken its collective strength,
both internally and in its external activities. So the enlargement
helped to trigger the great re-think, the readjustment – in
short a reinvention of the system, a new Europe. The means of a
Convention had already proved its worth in framing the new Charter
of Fundamental Rights and Freedoms. Could it work on a larger plane?
The
European adventure started with economic integration; first in trade,
with a customs union and thus what we call Community competence
– managed by the European Commission, like all areas of Community
competence. If we go fast forward, we can see that economic integration
included competition policy, agriculture, food safety, consumer
protection, transport, energy and environmental policy, economic
and social cohesion and regional policy and the adoption of the
single European market in 1992, the internal market guaranteeing
the freedom of movement of all goods, services, capital and people.
Economic integration culminated in the introduction of the single
currency, the euro, at the beginning of this year. The introduction
of the euro marked the completion of the founding of Europe.
At
this point, the best one can do is to refer to that great practical
man of vision whose ideas led to the whole European idea, Jean Monnet,
who said:
“The
purpose of the Community was confined to the areas of solidarity
enshrined in the Treaties, and while we always believed that those
areas of solidarity would call forth others, and would gradually
result in the broadest integration of human activities, I knew that
their progress would halt at the boundaries where political power
begins. At this point, it would be necessary to re-invent.”
Thus,
whereas the founding of Europe was based on economic and social
policies, the new policies introduced by the Treaty of Union at
Maastricht, both in foreign and defence policy and to justice and
internal security policy are at the very core of the State. They
are not yet fully fitted into the Union. They are subject to inter-governmental
agreement, through cooperation, not through integration, although
much of what we call Justice and Home Affairs will move from being
inter-governmental to become Community law from 2004.
The
Convention is aimed at building a broader, coherent system around
the acquis of European integration, what has been achieved so far,
and the three institutions, the Council of Ministers, the European
Parliament and the European Commission.
The
aim is to create a new, Basic Treaty, or Constitution, which will
comprise the essentials of the European Union: There would be a
constitutional section, and a section on common policies, followed
by protocols and annexes. The Treaty should make clear what are
the European Union’s well-defined areas of competence; what
it should decide and what it should not, upholding strongly the
principle of subsidiarity, that is to say which decisions should
not be EU-conform, but best made locally, or regionally, or nationally
and only where necessary or best at the European level. If it is
agreed exactly what the EU should and should not do, this should
go a long way to eliminating the constant carping at so-called Brussels
interference, and reinforcing the consensus. It should no longer
be arguable what the Union does – it will have been agreed
afresh, for all the peoples, in consultation through the Convention
with their own political parties, European politicians and civic
society. All the arcane detail which has been added, or amended
to the existing Treaties – all the new agricultural and food
regulations, human rights, electronic law, voting procedures in
the Council, and so on, all of which makes it difficult if not impossible
for anyone but an expert to read, all this will be codified and
arranged logically in a secondary text. Then we should all now where
we stand and it should be easy to teach from this new Constitution.
The
European Union should have a single identity. This will mean a merger
between the European Community Treaty – the original Treaty
of Rome with its largely economic rules, and the Treaty on European
Union which came down from Maastricht with its two extra, inter-governmental
pillars on foreign and security policy and justice and home affairs.
To
meet the crying public need to feel that it knows better what is
going on, that the EU feels closer to the general public, there
is a strong tendency in the Convention towards more transparency,
such as opening up the Council of Ministers to the media. It is
astonishing that Europe has been built on 50 years of decisions
behind closed doors. It is democratic. The Community way is based
on the exclusive proposal of the Commission based on the general
European interest and taking into account the interests of small
countries and minority interests, including both sides of industry
and sectoral interests [Commission consultation is very thorough];
moreover the Commission is monitored by the world’s biggest
press corps, bigger than the White House press corps. The proposal
is then scrutinised by the European Parliament which is directly
elected in the world’s only international elections and which
can modify or even veto the Commission’s proposal. It is decided
upon, after negotiation and compromise among the governments by
qualified majority vote in the Council of Ministers, and although
each of them is properly elected to their own parliaments, they
take their decisions behind closed doors. So when a government opposes,
or supports, or vetoes a decision, it can hide, it can refuse to
explain, it can – and often does – blame the Commission.
This is seen as the biggest single obstacle to wider public understanding
and support for the European integration which people enjoy, albeit
often unconsciously. The lack of final transparency undermines the
real democratic transparency which accompanies most of the process.
It
is not only on transparency, but on a whole range of issues that
the Convention has developed a sense of mission: It has moved from
a listening phase, to a study phase; from the end of this month
it will move into a proposal stage, and the tendency which is developing
is not to offer the final Inter-Governmental conference a series
of options, but a series of solutions, of firm proposals, many of
which will be difficult for the governments to reject, at least
without good reason.
There
is one very fundamental argument at stake, which you will have been
able to discern in my remarks: This is between the Community way,
the classic Community architecture, and the inter-governmental way.
Perhaps the great divide is not quite as stark as black and white,
but it is important as governments, especially governments of big
countries, seek to weaken the Commission and to take back more power
for themselves.
The
European Commission, you will not be surprised to learn, strongly
supports the Community way, because it is democratic, more transparent
and accountable. It is also effective. The inter-governmental way
has proved to be messy and incomplete, based on unlegislated and
unpredictable goodwill, it is done behind closed doors and it is
not accountable. Often it does work, neither at the world level
nor within the Union; look at the Kyoto Protocol; look at judicial
cooperation inside the Union, only now getting better after 11 September.
But, but, some things are not altogether suitable to the Community
way, and so the Commission proposes the Community way with flexibility.
The idea of so-called enhanced cooperation, with a hard core moving
ahead with a new policy and others unable to stop it but able to
adopt it later. You can be sure that the smaller Member States,
always afraid of being pushed around by the bigger members, will
support the Community way and a strong Commission as their best
protection. The new Member States, after 2004, will also mostly,
if not all support the Community way. Even Germany – the biggest
Member State of all, supports a strong Commission.
As
the Commission has put it in its own submission to the Convention,
the enlargement is going to change the parameters of the way we
do things. It will be essential to have at the centre of the system
an organ, an institution charged with enouncing the general interest
of up to 30 Member States, to assure the coherence of the measures
adopted by the Member States, and which will have the means to project
a global vision, to enhance the credibility and the unity of a system
faced with the threats which weigh on the whole of the euro zone
and the wider Europe. This role, it says, should fall on the Commission,
which role needs to be reinforced. And lest this is seen as a territorial
power grab by the Commission, it also proposes increasing the role
of the European Parliament, and, for the first time, cooperation
between the European Parliament and the national parliaments. And
this is supported by the President of the Convention, Giscard d’Estaing.
What we really need is a balance between the Community way, which
works, and intergovernmental cooperation which can only work in
certain circumstances.
So
you need to follow this process to the point where it makes its
proposals to the Governments next year; for it is finally the Governments
which will decide. All treaty-making decisions are Inter-governmental
and will remain so. The Community way was established by an Inter-governmental
Conference of Six in Rome. As a follow-up, Giscard proposes a new
sort of European Congress, without legislative powers which must
rest with the European Parliament, to reflect and review the governance
of Europe from time to time, a sort of follow-up Convention. He
sees the European Union developing in 50-year cycles and it might
well be better to keep the next 50 years under review, rather than
bog down as we have now.
I believe
we shall have a European Union which will not be a European superstate,
as some Englishmen continue to predict – although less nowadays
- but a union of sovereign Member States which is not a federation,
but which is federal in many of its characteristics. It may well
have a new name. It will probably have a more clearly defined personality
as its President, who may well be elected in some way or another.
And it will be able to stand properly on its own feet, to pull its
weight in the world. I suggest that this has never been as important
as it is now, in a world in which one super-power, however benign,
cannot manage alone.
Michael
LAKE
Conference
materials also available:
Conference
Report and Conclusions
Reports
of working groups:
Democratic
and spiritual values: the governance of an enlarged Europe
External
relations: focus on development and trade
Foreign
and security policy: focus on conflict prevention and US / Europe
relations
Supporting
the citizen: rights, responsibilities and social policy
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